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Cakarevic vs Miron Teodora Miron 97% ▲+61CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra CD Tenerife 89% ▲+48Daniel Merida vs Sebastian Baez: Set 1 Winner Daniel Merida 94% ▲+47Sudurpaschim Royals vs Chitwan Rhinos Sudurpaschim Royals 91% ▲+44Todoni vs Bertoldo Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni 93% ▲+42Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Set 1 Winner Casper Ruud 91% ▲+41Chonburi vs Pathum United Chonburi 75% ▲+39Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republ… Nebraska, South Carolina 29% ▲+38Jacksonville vs Baltimore Baltimore 20% ▼−38Wingman vs. DNK DNK 88% ▲+38Yellow Submarine vs. OG OG 41% ▼−36Emirates Blues vs Ajman Emirates Blues 82% ▲+35Forejtek vs Donald Jonas Forejtek 94% ▲+32MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner Caleb Durbin 30% ▲+29
KalshiCloses November 16, 2026

Daniel Merida vs Sebastian Baez: Set 1 Winner

Daniel Merida leads at 94% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 2, 14:19 UTC. It's up 47 points in the last 24 hours.

Daniel Merida 94% ▲ 47 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 2, 14:19 UTC
  • Daniel Merida 94% +47
  • Sebastian Baez 5% —
Traded today$157K
Traded in all$176K
Favourite, 7 days+47 pts

Daniel Merida, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 2Nov 280%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Daniel Merida; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Daniel Merida wins set 1 in the Daniel Merida vs Sebastian Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Daniel Merida vs Sebastian Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 64. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ATP

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