The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Above $1.5M 6% —
- Above $2M 4% —
- Above $2.5M 5% —
- Above $3M 6.5% +1.5
- Above $3.5M 6% —
- Above $4M 6.5% +1
- Above $4.5M 5% —
- Above $5M 3.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$102K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Above $3M, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 27: 6.5% · Sep 28: 6.5% · Sep 29: 4.5% · Sep 30: 3.5% · Oct 1: 3% · Oct 2: 4.5% · Oct 5: 6.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $3M; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the lot sold price of the 2026 NBA Finals 'The Hand of OG' Game 4 Game Used Basketball | Largest Comeback in NBA Finals History | OG Anunoby Game Winning Tip-In | NBA Finals Record 14 3-Pointers in a Half on Sotheby's is above $3M before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the amount displayed under “Lot Sold” on the Sotheby’s website. If the value is reported in a currency other than USD, it will be converted to USD using the prevailing exchange rate. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Sotheby’s and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Sotheby’s
See it on Kalshi ↗