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PolymarketCloses February 1, 2027

Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?

Loki leads at 83% (about 8 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 9, 19:22 UTC. It's up 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Loki 83% ▲ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 9, 19:22 UTC
  • Loki 83% +0.5
  • Thor 68% —
  • Spider-Man 62% +0.5
  • Ant-Man 56% +11
  • Shang-Chi 55% +26
  • Steve Rogers 52% +4
  • Captain America (Sam Wilson) 46% −5
  • Doctor Strange 34% −2.8

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$549
Traded in all$31K
Favourite, 7 days−3 pts

Loki, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 1Oct 983%

Oct 2: 85% · Oct 3: 85% · Oct 4: 84% · Oct 5: 83% · Oct 6: 83% · Oct 7: 83% · Oct 8: 83% · Oct 9: 83%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled to premiere on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Avengers: Doomsday". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Avengers: Doomsday" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Avengers: Doomsday" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Avengers: Doomsday" will qualify. Only events depicted in the official "Avengers: Doomsday" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Avengers: Doomsday". If no theatrical release occurs by January 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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