The odds
as of Oct 12, 19:22 UTC- Once Upon a Time in Harlem 8.6% −18
- One in a Million 8.5% —
- American Doctor 5.5% —
- Tutu 3.1% —
- Musk 2.9% —
- Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party 1.8% —
- Nuisance Bear 1.1% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days+4 pts
Once Upon a Time in Harlem, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 5: 5.3% · Oct 6: 5.9% · Oct 7: 4.3% · Oct 8: 5.1% · Oct 9: 7.7% · Oct 10: 11% · Oct 11: 13% · Oct 12: 8.6%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 12, 19:22 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗