The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Kimi Antonelli 97% +3.8
- George Russell 1.6% −1.7
- Max Verstappen <1% —
- Lewis Hamilton <1% —
- Lando Norris <1% —
- Charles Leclerc <1% —
Traded today$145K
Traded in all$203.8M
Favourite, 7 days+5.3 pts
Kimi Antonelli, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 91% · Sep 29: 91% · Sep 30: 91% · Oct 1: 92% · Oct 2: 92% · Oct 3: 93% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 97%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗