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KalshiCloses January 31, 2030

Time's Person of the Decade

Volodymyr Zelenskyy leads at 42% (about 4 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 9, 21:23 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 42% ▼ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 9, 21:23 UTC
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy 42% −1
  • Elon Musk 33% −4
  • Taylor Swift 18% —
  • Sam Altman 14% —
  • Xi Jinping 9.5% —
  • Jensen Huang 6.5% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$770
Traded in all$60K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 2Oct 944%

Oct 2: 41% · Oct 3: 41% · Oct 4: 41% · Oct 5: 40% · Oct 6: 41% · Oct 7: 41% · Oct 8: 42% · Oct 9: 44%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Volodymyr Zelenskyy; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Volodymyr Zelenskyy is Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s, then the market resolves to Yes. If Time doesn't announce a Person of the Decade before Jan 31, 2030, all markets resolve to No. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi.

Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; CNN; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal

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