The odds
as of Oct 12, 21:22 UTC- Bill Ackman 46% +31
- Sam Altman 28% +1
- Hunter Biden 25% —
- Vivek Ramaswamy 25% +7
- Tulsi Gabbard 20% —
- Bernie Sanders 19% —
- Zohran Mamdani 17% +2
- Kanye West 12% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$526
Traded in all$65K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Bill Ackman, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 45% · Oct 7: 45% · Oct 8: 12% · Oct 12: 33%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Bill Ackman; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Bill Ackman goes on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Spotify
See it on Kalshi ↗