The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- The Debut 87% −3
- Wild Horse Nine 84% —
- Club Kid 73% +14
- Obsession 62% −2
- Fjord 42% —
- Elsinore 29% —
- Behemoth! 28% −15
- Digger 26% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$733
Traded in all$71K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
The Debut, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 85% · Sep 29: 87% · Sep 30: 88% · Oct 1: 87% · Oct 2: 88% · Oct 4: 86% · Oct 5: 87%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, The Debut; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If The Debut has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
See it on Kalshi ↗