The odds
as of Oct 10, 16:25 UTC- Wildwood 94% +1
- Toy Story 5 92% —
- Ray Gunn 67% −8
- Forgotten Island 66% +9
- Iron Boy 61% −1
- Hoppers 56% +2
- Tangles 47% +7
- Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom 38% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$511
Traded in all$45K
Favourite, 7 days+4.5 pts
Wildwood, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 2: 90% · Oct 3: 90% · Oct 4: 90% · Oct 5: 89% · Oct 7: 91% · Oct 8: 91% · Oct 10: 94%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 10, 16:25 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Wildwood; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Wildwood has been nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
See it on Kalshi ↗