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KalshiCloses November 9, 2026

ATP Tokyo Winner

Carlos Alcaraz leads at 80% (about 8 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's up 9 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Carlos Alcaraz 80% +9
  • Alexander Blockx 20% —
  • Matteo Arnaldi 17% —
  • Jaume Munar 15% +3
  • Jiri Lehecka 10% —
  • Ugo Humbert 10% —
  • Valentin Vacherot 8% −2
  • Rafael Jodar 7% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$71K
Favourite, 7 days+30 pts

Carlos Alcaraz, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 29Oct 556%

Sep 29: 46% · Sep 30: 49% · Oct 1: 62% · Oct 2: 62% · Oct 3: 66% · Oct 4: 67% · Oct 5: 56%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Carlos Alcaraz; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Fox Sports; ESPN; ATP

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

See it on Kalshi ↗

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