The odds
as of Oct 7, 01:04 UTC- Before Jan 1, 2027 44% +21
- Before Oct 1, 2026 16% —
- Before Dec 1, 2026 12% −75
- Before Nov 1, 2026 8% —
- Before Oct 24, 2026 5.5% —
- Before Oct 17, 2026 5% +1
- Before Sep 19, 2026 2% —
- Before Oct 10, 2026 1.5% +1
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$124K
Favourite, 7 days−28 pts
Before Jan 1, 2027, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 30: 74% · Oct 1: 97% · Oct 2: 89% · Oct 3: 47% · Oct 4: 49% · Oct 5: 25% · Oct 6: 48% · Oct 7: 35%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jan 1, 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Spotify
See it on Kalshi ↗